| |
SPC
Severe Weather Event has
been posted at SPC for this storm. The 15Z HPC surface analysis shows
a warm front pushing over the Delmarva peninsula into PA and NJ. We
will be in the warm sector by midafternoon. SPC Mesoscale
Discussion #330 is reproduced below. |
|
|
| |
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0330
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0453 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME ERN PA...WRN NJ...NRN DE AND EXTREME NERN
MD
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 292153Z - 292330Z
 |
SVR THREAT WILL EXIST ACROSS EXTREME ERN PA...NJ...NRN DE AND NERN
MD FOR A FEW MORE HOURS. DMGG WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL ARE LIKELY...BUT
A TORNADO RISK CANNOT BE RULED OUT SOUTH OF A LINE FROM KPTW-KDYL
SWD TO INCLUDE ALL OF THE PHL METRO AREA.
BKN LINE OF TSTMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS...CONTINUES TO ORGANIZE FROM
AVOCA SWD TO BALTIMORE. INTENSE CELL THAT PRODUCED SVR WIND GUSTS
IN READING HAS MOVED N OF THE WRMFNT BUT WILL AFFECT KABE-KUKT REGION
NEWD INTO NRN NJ AND PERHAPS WRN LONG ISLAND WITH A LARGE
HAIL THREAT FOR A FEW MORE HOURS.
FARTHER S...THERE SEEMS TO BE AN INCREASING THREAT FOR SUPERCELLS
AND TORNADOES INVOF THE WRMFNT/SFC LOW ACROSS THE PHL METRO AREA WHERE
2-HRLY PRESSURE FALLS WERE IN EXCESS OF 3 MB. HERE...STORMS DEVELOPING
OVER CHESTER COUNTY SWD INTO NERN MD WILL LIKELY MOVE ENE WITHIN THE
CAPE AXIS TOWARD PHL. THESE STORMS WILL HAVE AVAILABILITY TO THE STRONGEST
STORM RELATIVE HELICITY AND POTENTIAL
FOR TORNADOES AS THEY CROSS THE WRMFNT.
AFTER COORDINATION WITH THE MOUNT HOLLY OFFICE...A SVR WEATHER WATCH
WILL NOT BE ISSUED. HOWEVER...THERE WILL NEED TO BE A HEIGHTENED AWARENESS
FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR SVR WEATHER...INCLUDING TORNADOES IN THE PHL
METRO AREA FROM 2230-00Z. AT LEAST ISOLD LARGE HAIL/DMGG WIND THREATS
WILL EXTEND ENE INTO MUCH OF NJ THROUGH MID-EVENING.
|
|
| |
2245Z
(1845 EDT) Last KDIX report prior to 1 hour period with no data. Cells
are still relatively discrete, but radial velocity data is unremarkable.
The storms are moving quickly, so we pack up and get ready to go. |
 |
|
| |
2311Z
(1911EDT) Looking SW. CB tops are visible above low clouds preceding
squall line. No radar data is available, and the sun is too low for
satellite imagery to be revealing. Stay put and watch. |
 |
|
| |
2323Z
(1923 EDT) Shelf cloud is clearly visible, with nice sculpted effect.
At present, conclude that we are out of position if this is a supercell--watching
the forward flank of the approaching storm |
 |
|
| |
2323Z
Panoramic view of multi-tiered shelf cloud. View is approximately
90-100 degrees. |
 |
|
| |
2324Z
(1924 EDT) The speed of this storm is evident in the changes that
have occurred in the minute since the last panoramic sequence was
shot. |
 |
|
| |
2324Z
panoramic view |
 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| |
2326Z
(1926 EDT) Lasy shot before packing up. The winds have shifted to
the west as the gust front has reached us. Thunder is audible and
lightning dimly visible in the gloom beneath the cloud base. |
 |
|
| |
19:28:14
EDT. Just prior to rolling up window and heading out. No tripod--steady
camera agains window and hope for the best in this ~1 sec exposure. |
 |
|
| |
|
|
|
| |
19:28:54
EDT. Can't resist one more shot. We head east looking to get ahead
of the storm and pick up the rear flank if possible. At this point,
however, there is little reason to expect we will be able to reach
it: daylight is fading and it looks like a linear structure as far
as the eye can see. |
 |
|
| |
Rain
begins as we hit the road, and we remain in rain for the next 20 minutes.
We catch sight of a wall cloud in the distance and spot a definite
(if unimposing) inflow band but the treeline prevents getting good
pictures. At right: video stills of the wall cloud, shot from the
moving car by Spencer. |
 |
|
| |
By the
time we reach Allentown, visibility is about 50 yards in very heavy
rain and hail. |
 |
|
| |
By
2354Z, we are out of the hail and heavy rain and heading home. This
is the first useful radar data from KDIX since 2245Z. |
 |
|